Carga global, regional e nacional de outros distúrbios musculoesqueléticos, 1990-2020, e projeções para 2050: Uma análise sistemática do Estudo de Carga Global de Doenças 2021
Lancet Rheumatol 2023;5:e670–82 doi 10.1016/S2665-9913(23)00232-1
As part of the GBD 2021, the authors provide updated estimates for the global burden of musculoskeletal disorders, excluding RA, osteoarthritis, low back pain, neck pain, and gout. In 2020, the total years lived with disability globally was estimated to be 42.7 million, which was a 122% increase from 1990. Over the same time period, mortality increased by 199%. The study forecasts an increase in cases by 2050 in all regions, with the exception of Central Europe.
Prevalence was estimated in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020 using Bayesian meta-regression models and data from population-based studies and medical claims data. Prevalence was forecast to 2050 by logistic regression with Socio-Demographic Index as a predictor.
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